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25 June 2025, Volume 44 Issue 6
  
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    Institution, Policy and Governance
  • Enhancing National Strategic Scientific and Technological Forces through the New Whole-nation System: Theoretical Framework and Implementation Pathways
    Guo Yuewen, Li Yuan, Chen Zhiming, Liu Cheng
    2025, 44(6): 1-15. https://doi.org/10.19592/j.cnki.scje.430452
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
         Strengthening national strategic science and technology forces via the new whole-nation system is the inevitable choice of latecomers to overcome market, system and institutional failures and move from technological catch-up to technological leadership. This paper deconstructs the national innovation system into strategic, process, and capability systems based on Checkland's system classification theory and Complex Adaptive System, andusing it as the theoretical framework for analysis. The essence of strengthening the national strategic science and technology forces through the new whole-nation system can be understood as a systematic optimization process of the national innovation system. What's more, the strategic system emphasizes achieving high-level technological self-reliance and self-strengthening by focusing on the "Four Orientations" (i.e., world technological frontiers, main economic battlefield, major national needs, and people's health). The process system focuses on properly handling the "Three Relationships" (government and market, central and local government, and self-reliance and openness) to build a "balanced" governance system. The capability system prioritizes the development of "Three Capabilities" (original innovation, integrated innovation, and open innovation) to shape new competitive advantages for the nation. To enhance the effectiveness of this process, mechanisms such as institutional supply-demand alignment, government-market synergy, and multi-stakeholder integration should be established, so as to overcome the dilemma of "triple failures" and improve the overall efficiency of the national innovation system. During the "15th Five-year Plan" period, China should further explore practical innovations in strengthening the national strategic science and technology forces through the new whole-nation system, adhere to a systemic thinking approach, and continuously exert efforts in innovation entities, innovation foundations, innovation resources, and innovation environments. This will form an optimal path characterized by "mission-driven- digital intelligence empowerment- system synergyopen competition and cooperation", providing a Chinese solution for latecomer countries to fulfill technological catch-up and technological leadership.
  • Will Artificial Intelligence Attract More Investment? Perspectives Based on the Reshaping of the Global Pattern of Resource Factor Endowments
    Li Junhai, Ma Yulian, Wu Benjian
    2025, 44(6): 16-36. https://doi.org/10.19592/j.cnki.scje.420937
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
        Artificial intelligence development can not only improve production efficiency and people's quality of life, but also may reshape the pattern of global resource factor endowment. This paper utilizes the volume of publications in AI-related
    fields to comprehensively and systematically measure the level of AI development, and constructs an economy-level indicator of the level of AI development through keyword literature search in order to study the role of attracting external investment by the development of AI in an economy. It is found that AI development can significantly promote the injection of foreign invest‐ment in an economy, and the conclusion still holds after a series of robustness and endogeneity tests. It is further found that the attraction of AI development to foreign investment is achieved by improving production efficiency and activating the consumer market; the attraction of AI technology at different levels to foreign investment varies, with basic hardware, computing systems and data having a stronger attraction to foreign investment; compared with other economies, high-income economies,developed economies, highly industrialized economies, export-oriented economies and enterprises have a better business environment than other economies. Compared with other economies, high-income economies, developed economies, highly industrialized economies, export-oriented economies and economies with better business environments are more attractive to foreign capital injection, which also reflects the comprehensive requirements of the development of emerging technologies on the soft and hard strength of economies. For China, it is not only necessary to vigorously develop artificial intelligence technology and promote the high-quality development of basic computing power hardware, but also to continuously optimize the business environment and improve the relevant legal system construction, so as to create favorable conditions for the injection of foreign capital.
  • How does Judicial Strengthening Promote the Incremental Improvement of Residents' Consumption? Based on Family Micro Decision Analysis
    Gao Ziming, Wang Yuanyuan
    2025, 44(6): 37-57. https://doi.org/10.19592/j.cnki.scje.420930
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
        How does strengthening judicial protection of consumer rights affect consumer consumption? Based on the family intertemporal decision-making model, this paper incorporates the judicial protection enhancement factor into the residents'

    utility function and income constraint conditions, and examines its impact on the total consumption and consumption structure of residents' households. In the empirical analysis section, this paper innovatively uses the number of judicial case documents obtained through web crawler technology as a metric to measure the degree of judicial protection strengthening, and combines the micro-survey data from the China Family Income Project (CHIP) for testing.

        The results show that strengthening the judicial protection of consumer rights and interests can not only improve the overall consumption level and marginal income consumption of residents, but also produce an "incremental" effect. Further‐

    more, the positive promotion effect on development-type consumption is significantly stronger than that on survival-type consumption, demonstrating a "quality improvement" effect. This effect is particularly pronounced in the samples of urban households, debt-free households, and highly educated households. The influence mechanism of strengthening judicial protection is primarily reflected in two aspects: First, it reduces potential transaction costs and mitigates their impact on income constraints; second, it decreases residents' risk aversion and increases their marginal propensity to consume.    

        The main contributions of this paper are: First, it expands the research field of the interaction between judicial environment and consumer consumption. By using the method of "web crawler + manual collation", this paper collects the number of judicial precedents related to consumer rights and interests as a measurement indicator, and finds that the data has surged from about 100 cases in 2006 to nearly 90, 000 cases in 2018, and the number of cities involved has expanded from 27 to 333.This provides strong data support for the research of this paper and introduces new perspectives and methods for the study of the rule of law environment. Second, it is innovative at the theoretical level. This paper constructs a household intertemporal decision-making model that includes risk aversion and potential costs, and systematically analyzes the impact of judicial protection intensity on residents' total consumption and marginal propensity to consume, as well as its microscopic mechanism of action. The model takes into account both survival and developmental consumption needs and distinguishes different types of consumption motives through absolute risk aversion coefficients, thus theoretically proving the positive effect of judicial protection intensification on optimizing consumption structure. Thirdly, the findings of the study have an important practical application value, proving the importance of the strategy of "ruling the country according to law" and the reform of the judicial system for stimulating the consumption vitality of microeconomic subjects, and providing a solid theoretical basis for further optimizing the rule of law environment and perfecting the judicial system in order to release the potential of greater domestic demand.

  • Finance, Trade and Region
  • Technological Pathways of Regional Innovation in China and Enterprise Total Factor Productivity Enhancement
    Tan Yifan, Ding Huanfeng, Cao Boyi
    2025, 44(6): 58-76. https://doi.org/10.19592/j.cnki.scje.4202031
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
        Tailoring regional innovation pathways to local conditions is not only an effective strategy for aligning scientific and technological innovation with industrial development needs, but also an essential requirement for fostering new quality pro‐
    ductive forces. Fact-based analysis of China's urban and industrial innovation capability indices (2001-2021) reveals two dominant technological pathways in recent regional innovation: large cities pursuing technological specialization in high-tech
    industries, and small-medium cities achieving specialization in specific industrial sectors. Using firm-level tax survey data(2007-2016), this study empirically examines the economic effects of regional innovation pathways on manufacturing firms.The findings demonstrate that concentrating innovation resources in highly interrelated industrial sectors (i.e., regional technological specialization) significantly enhances total factor productivity (TFP) in manufacturing firms, particularly high-tech manufacturers. The underlying mechanisms include cost reduction and efficiency gains for firms, revitalizing regional development dynamics, and deepening industrial specialization across regions. By constructing novel metrics for technological specialization/diversification, this study uncovers new characteristics of regional innovation pathways, offering insights for regional innovation strategies. Regions should expedite industrial positioning based on their resource endowments, fostering a coordinated and complementary division of labor in regional innovation.
  • Can Super Large-scale Market Advantages Become a Source of Export Quality Upgrading?
    Wang Kui, Hu Feng, Qin Cuizhu
    2025, 44(6): 77-97. https://doi.org/10.19592/j.cnki.scje.421462
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save

        In response to the current bottleneck in the growth of export product quality faced by enterprises and the prominent advantage of China's super large market, this paper characterizes the super large market with domestic market potential and places it in a unified analysis framework with the quality of enterprise export products. Using micro enterprise data from 2001 to 2015, we deeply explore the relationship between domestic market size and enterprise export product quality.

         The results show that super large-scale market advantages can significantly promote enterprises to improve the export product quality. Mechanism test finds that technology spillover, input sharing, and differentiated product competition promote export product quality upgrading. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that super large-scale market advantages mainly promotes the upgrading of product quality in general trade and non-state-owned enterprise exports. We also find that super large-scale market advantages not only helps to improve the quality of new and old products within enterprises, but also promotes the overall upgrading of export product quality in the industry through the reallocation effect of existing enterprise resources and the exit effect of enterprises. Super large-scale market advantages can not only promote the upgrading of export product quality of enterprises in this industry, but also drive the upgrading of export product quality of enterprises in upstream and downstream industries through industry correlation effects. These confirm that super large-scale market advantages can become a driving force for improving the quality of exported products.

        The marginal contributions of this paper are mainly as follows: First, In the framework of Hallak and Sivadasan (2009)product quality heterogeneity model, three characteristics reflecting super large-scale market advantages, namely technological spillover, input sharing, and differentiated product competition, are introduced into the model to reveal the internal mechanism of the impact of domestic super large market size on the upgrading of export product quality of enterprises from a theoretical perspective. This has not been considered in previous research on the relationship between domestic market demand and enterprise exports. Second, based on the definition of export binary margin by Amurgo Pacheco and Pierola (2008) and the dynamic decomposition method by Melitz and Polanec (2015), this paper further explores the path of enhancing the quality of exported products by enterprises through super large-scale market advantages from the perspective of the reallocation of new and old products within enterprises and resources between enterprises. This provides empirical evidence to answer which products and enterprises will benefit from super large-scale market advantages. Third, existing research on the size of the domestic market mostly focuses on the same industry, without considering the correlation effects between industries. In this regard, this article uses the input-output table between domestic industries to construct the domestic market potential of upstream and downstream industries, and explores the role of the super large-scale market advantages from the perspective of industry correlation. This article not only considers the market size level available within the industry, but also takes into account the economies of scale effects brought about by input-output linkages between different industries.

  • How does the 72/144-hour Visa-free Transit Policy Affect the Upgrading of Export Products Quality: An Analysis of the Trade Effects of Short-term Cross-border Personnel Mobility
    #br#
    Sun Wei, Hu Tong, Dai Guilin, Wang Su
    2025, 44(6): 98-119. https://doi.org/10.19592/j.cnki.scje.421823
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
  • Industry, Labor and Enterprise
  • Tax Enforcement and Corporate Digital Transformation
    Wei Shengmin, Li Peilun Huang, Liangxiong
    2025, 44(6): 120-142. https://doi.org/10.19592/j.cnki.scje.420092
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
         Tax enforcement serves as a pivotal external mechanism that governs corporate behavior, influencing various aspects of firm operations, including digital transformation. The merger of the State Tax Bureau (STB) and Local Tax Bureaus

    (LTBs) in 2018 marked a substantial shift in the tax enforcement system. In this study, we interpret the merger of the STB and LTBs as a "quasi-natural experiment" to examine its impact on corporate digital transformation within Chinese firms. Using micro-level data of A-share listed firms in China covering the period from 2014 to 2021, this research investigates whether and how this merger influenced corporate digital transformation.

        The baseline regression results demonstrate that the merger of the STB and LTBs has significantly promoted corporate digital transformation, suggesting that an integrated tax enforcement framework can stimulate firms to engage in digital initiatives. The research sample satisfies the parallel trend assumption. The conclusions remain valid after remeasuring the dependent variable, excluding other contemporaneous shocks, conducting placebo tests, and performing other robustness tests. This promotion effect can be attributed to the interplay of the "taxation effect" "governance effect" and "innovation effect" stemming from the merger of the STB and LTBs. First, the merger of the STB and LTBs can increase corporate tax burdens, creating a "taxation effect" that could hinder corporate digital transformation. Second, the merger of the STB and LTBs can alleviate corporate financing constraints, generating a "governance effect" that promotes digital transformation. Third, the merger of the STB and LTBs can drive corporate innovation, producing an "innovation effect" that further promotes digital transformation. Overall, the positive impacts associated with the "governance effect" and "innovation effect" outweigh the adverse implications of the "taxation effect". Heterogeneity analysis reveals significant differences in the promotion effect of digital transformation across different types of firms and regional contexts. Specifically, the merger's impact is more pronounced for firms located in provinces with traditionally lower levels of tax enforcement intensity and economic development. Additionally, hightech firms benefit disproportionately from the merger, likely due to their greater propensity for innovation and adaptability to new digital tools. These findings underscore the varying degrees to which firms, depending on their sector and geographic location, respond to shifts in regulatory environments.

        By shedding light on these mechanisms, our research offers empirical insights into the complex interplay between tax enforcement reforms and corporate digital strategies. The findings suggest that the merger of the STB and LTBs serves as a catalyst for overcoming common digital transformation obstacles, effectively addressing challenges such as the "unable to transition" "cannot transition" and "hesitant to transition" faced by many Chinese firms. This study not only contributes to the literature on tax policy and corporate behavior but also provides practical implications for policymakers seeking to foster digital innovation in the corporate sector. Through the empirical insights generated, this research underscores the economic and operational implications arising from the merger of the STB and LTBs, with potential policy relevance for other economies considering similar tax reforms.

  • Does Digital Transformation Increase the Survival Probability of Enterprises? An Analysis of Cox Proportional Hazards Survival Model from the Perspective of Life Cycle Theory
    Feng Guoqiang, Wang Jin
    2025, 44(6): 143-166. https://doi.org/10.19592/j.cnki.scje.420820
    Abstract ( ) Download PDF ( )   Knowledge map   Save
        The logic of survival of the fittest also applies to enterprises. Faced with the impact of digital technology, the ability to make changes has become a key test of a company's survival. Using the empirical data of digital transformation of A-share

    manufacturing listed companies from 2011 to 2020, combined with Cox PH model by setting interesting events according to the systematic differences in survival probability at different stages of the enterprise life cycle, this article examines how digital transformation improves the survival probability of enterprises.

        Our results indicate that choosing digital transformation can significantly increase the likelihood of enterprises entering the mature stage, thereby increasing their survival probability, and the survival of the fittest logic at the enterprise level is established. The faster a company achieves digital transformation compared to its peers, the higher the likelihood of entering a mature stage, and the more significant the effect of digital transformation on improving survival probability. Mechanism testing found that the survival of the fittest strategy mainly works through innovation paths and paths that expand the boundaries of enterprises, and the effect of efficiency paths during the sample period is not yet significant. Of course, the survival perfor‐mance of digital transformation is affected by the digital investment costs and financing capabilities of enterprises. Digital transformation mainly plays a positive role in improving the survival probability of enterprises with low financing constraints,while its effect is limited for enterprises with high financing constraints.   

        Based on this finding above, the article argues that in order to reduce the possibility of failure in survival strategy transformation, it is necessary for enterprises to spend limited funds on key areas in order to reduce the opportunity cost of survival strategy selection; The government can guide enterprises to choose a digital transformation survival strategy based on their stage and growth challenges, and reduce institutional barriers to their choices.


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